Last Minute Predictions
50-50 Senate (i.e. GOP control when you count the Vice President’s tie-breaking vote). Republicans will win Tennessee, but none of the other key races.
GOP will lose control of the House.
Last minute check of Tradesports shows liklihood of GOP Senate control at 65% and liklihood of GOP House control at 11.6%.
Many happy (election) returns.
BACKGROUND: The Price of GOP Control
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November 8th, 2006 at 11:49 am
Mr. Extremist can’t count. His prediction seems to be accurate except it does mean the GOP loses control of the Senate. (sigh) Oh well.
November 8th, 2006 at 12:26 pm
Yep. TN being the only GOP victory in a key race means 49 Republicans v. 49 Dems + 2 Independents caucusing with the Dems. Don’t know what I was thinking.
On a race-by-race basis the odds on Tradesports were right, but they were not consistent with the overall GOP control contract. It actually got up over 90% at one point last night. Now it’s 11% pending the recounts, which I don’t expect to break for the GOP.
November 9th, 2006 at 8:07 am
i’m speechless. the next 2 years will certainly be interesting…