Withdrawal and Rumors of Withdrawal
Well, folks are talking, “hypothetically” of course, about how to pull the Miers nomination. As I write, rumors of a withdrawal don’t seem to be reflected in the market at Newsfutures, which puts her chances at 48%. This is higher than it was earlier last week. For a different measure, check out the Miers-X-Meter.
For the record: I oppose the Miers nomination. If you want to be on the record too, you can declare your position on your blog and have it counted here. You can view the results so far, on this page.
UPDATE: Newsfutures has her chances back down to 31%. See the chart for the most recent data and the overall trend line. It’s jumped up near 50% a few times in the last several days, but doesn’t seem to stay there long.
related articles
- The “Missing” 13th Amendment (July 14th, 2007)
- The Price of GOP Control (October 27th, 2006)
- The Odds on Alito (October 31st, 2005)
- The Odds on Miers (October 19th, 2005)
- Groupthink Runs Amok (October 13th, 2005)
October 24th, 2005 at 12:59 pm
[…] Factoring into the drop: Senators Specter and Schumer say she lacks the votes, Tradesports’ over-50 vote contract bids start at 51, Newsfutures currently stands at 42%, the Miers-X-Meter allows the nominee only a 31% chance of confirmation. Links via Drudge and Occasional Outburts. […]
October 26th, 2005 at 12:28 am
[…] Well, in my first post on the Miers nomination, I said , “The real question is whether conservatives will have the guts to put up a fight.” It looks like they have found their intestinal fortitude. David Frum links to two anti-Miers websites: www.betterjustice.com and www.withdrawmiers.org. They’ve raised money, produced ads, and are gathering signatures for a petition. Frum’s post also led me to another futures market trading on the Miers nomination, Tradesports (see their chart above for comparison with the Newsfutures chart). Permalink TrackBack […]